Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001549 0.001635 0.001723 0.001820 0.001925 0.002034 0.002157
2025-06-01 0.001404 0.001524 0.001652 0.001800 0.001966 0.002148 0.002362
2025-06-08 0.001317 0.001461 0.001619 0.001808 0.002027 0.002274 0.002578
2025-06-15 0.001236 0.001396 0.001575 0.001793 0.002053 0.002357 0.002741
2025-06-22 0.001176 0.001347 0.001543 0.001787 0.002085 0.002442 0.002907
2025-06-29 0.001118 0.001297 0.001505 0.001769 0.002099 0.002502 0.003041
2025-07-06 0.001067 0.001250 0.001468 0.001749 0.002105 0.002551 0.003161
2025-07-13 0.001009 0.001194 0.001415 0.001705 0.002078 0.002554 0.003218
2025-07-20 0.000981 0.001171 0.001403 0.001709 0.002113 0.002636 0.003384
2025-07-27 0.000957 0.001153 0.001395 0.001719 0.002153 0.002726 0.003564
2025-08-03 0.000941 0.001143 0.001396 0.001741 0.002209 0.002840 0.003782
2025-08-10 0.000915 0.001121 0.001380 0.001738 0.002231 0.002905 0.003934
2025-08-17 0.000879 0.001084 0.001346 0.001712 0.002223 0.002934 0.004041
2025-08-24 0.000849 0.001056 0.001321 0.001697 0.002231 0.002986 0.004186
2025-08-31 0.000830 0.001040 0.001313 0.001705 0.002270 0.003085 0.004411
2025-09-07 0.000804 0.001015 0.001291 0.001692 0.002278 0.003136 0.004562
2025-09-14 0.000783 0.000995 0.001275 0.001686 0.002296 0.003203 0.004743
2025-09-21 0.000759 0.000970 0.001252 0.001670 0.002296 0.003243 0.004881
2025-09-28 0.000736 0.000946 0.001229 0.001651 0.002292 0.003274 0.005005
2025-10-05 0.000707 0.000912 0.001191 0.001610 0.002252 0.003247 0.005025
2025-10-12 0.000694 0.000901 0.001184 0.001615 0.002282 0.003333 0.005250
2025-10-19 0.000684 0.000893 0.001181 0.001624 0.002319 0.003432 0.005506
2025-10-26 0.000677 0.000889 0.001185 0.001644 0.002374 0.003564 0.005832